Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.244902 1.402438 1.574457 1.776593 2.008070 2.265389 2.573826
2026-01-25 0.994073 1.199737 1.442144 1.750337 2.133720 2.597480 3.204799
2026-02-01 0.804510 1.025068 1.301269 1.675420 2.173411 2.819548 3.731318
2026-02-08 0.678693 0.904472 1.201845 1.626811 2.226047 3.052131 4.296797
2026-02-15 0.588518 0.814915 1.126288 1.592366 2.283645 3.289150 4.895912
2026-02-22 0.542490 0.778110 1.115387 1.642544 2.462532 3.717729 5.840352
2026-03-01 0.496018 0.733760 1.086262 1.658775 2.588100 4.077867 6.731051
2026-03-08 0.445006 0.676109 1.029400 1.622785 2.622875 4.293241 7.409681
2026-03-15 0.400995 0.624132 0.974835 1.582226 2.641935 4.480512 8.063381
2026-03-22 0.385088 0.614737 0.986359 1.651227 2.854772 5.030007 9.473786
2026-03-29 0.367090 0.599782 0.986579 1.699757 3.035948 5.545570 10.907494
2026-04-05 0.348838 0.582393 0.980465 1.735446 3.196632 6.043125 12.391873
2026-04-12 0.327890 0.559558 0.964619 1.755421 3.338081 6.540536 14.012596
2026-04-19 0.302118 0.525892 0.926299 1.728912 3.385309 6.856553 15.303138
2026-04-26 0.272785 0.483089 0.867066 1.654765 3.325036 6.936013 16.059206
2026-05-03 0.249991 0.450318 0.823452 1.606719 3.313169 7.119588 17.109816
2026-05-10 0.231268 0.423539 0.788704 1.572704 3.326880 7.362861 18.365861
2026-05-17 0.223663 0.417377 0.793518 1.622171 3.533974 8.093238 21.086718
2026-05-24 0.213109 0.404449 0.783467 1.638170 3.665889 8.663173 23.501304
2026-05-31 0.198423 0.382000 0.751856 1.602673 3.670070 8.911666 25.040249
2026-06-07 0.184638 0.360273 0.719825 1.562672 3.657826 9.115672 26.495997
2026-06-14 0.181487 0.360248 0.733747 1.630720 3.926834 10.122208 30.757127
2026-06-21 0.176714 0.356376 0.738929 1.678577 4.150960 11.046715 35.016295